Salernitana PPG 1.83
Picerno PPG 1.00Salernitana face Picerno in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Salernitana a 68% chance, the draw 19% and Picerno 13%, so Salernitana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Salernitana and 0.8 for Picerno (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Salernitana are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.00 for Picerno. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.5%. This match finished 2-1.
Based on 21 resolved predictions
Home team in GOOD form (1.83), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus