Monopoli vs Foggia Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

Monopoli face Foggia in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Monopoli a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Foggia 9%, so Monopoli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Monopoli and 0.5 for Foggia (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Monopoli are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.39 for Foggia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +45.1%. This match finished 1-0.