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SC Paulinense SP U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

SC Paulinense SP U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

União São João U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-111.9%0-23.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.2%1-112.1%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.3%2-16.1%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% — — —

Draw 32.3% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.9%

#2 1–0 20.2%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Paulinense SP U201.0

União São João U200.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SC PAULINENSE SP U20 · PPG 2.00

UNIÃO SÃO JOÃO U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.42, combined xG 1.61 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SC Paulinense SP U20 (H) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

União São João U20 (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Paulinense SP U20 face União São João U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Paulinense SP U20 a 45% chance, the draw 32% and União São João U20 23%, so SC Paulinense SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for SC Paulinense SP U20 and 0.6 for União São João U20 (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Paulinense SP U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for União São João U20.

SC Paulinense SP U20 vs União São João U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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