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RB Bragantino U20 vs Guarani U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 18:00

RB Bragantino U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guarani U20

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.80 for Home, form 3.00 vs 2.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.9%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.4%1-13.2%1-21.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.3%2-16.1%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.9%3-17.6%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-019.8%4+-119.0%4+-29.1%4+-32.9%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 75.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 26.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.6%

H 76% / xG 3.8-1.0 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 7.9%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 4–0 7.4%

#4 4–1 7.1%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Bragantino U203.8

Guarani U201.0

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

GUARANI U20 · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.80 for Home, form 3.00 vs 2.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

RB Bragantino U20 (H) 76.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guarani U20 (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Bragantino U20 face Guarani U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Bragantino U20 a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Guarani U20 8%, so RB Bragantino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for RB Bragantino U20 and 1.0 for Guarani U20 (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Bragantino U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Guarani U20.

RB Bragantino U20 vs Guarani U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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