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Velo Clube U20 vs Desportivo Brasil U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

Velo Clube U20

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Desportivo Brasil U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.4%0-120.4%0-211.3%0-34.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.7%1-111.9%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.1%2-13.5%2-21.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.6%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% — — —

Draw 33.0% — — —

Away win 41.4% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.6%

A 41% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.4%

#2 0–1 20.4%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 0–2 11.3%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Velo Clube U200.6

Desportivo Brasil U201.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VELO CLUBE U20 · PPG 1.40

DESPORTIVO BRASIL U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Velo Clube U20 (H) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Desportivo Brasil U20 (A) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Velo Clube U20 face Desportivo Brasil U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velo Clube U20 a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Desportivo Brasil U20 41%, so Desportivo Brasil U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Velo Clube U20 and 1.1 for Desportivo Brasil U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velo Clube U20 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Desportivo Brasil U20.

Velo Clube U20 vs Desportivo Brasil U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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