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Flamengo SP U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

Flamengo SP U20

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-115.4%0-27.7%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.5%1-113.4%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.9%2-15.8%2-22.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% — — —

Draw 33.4% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 37.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 28.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.4%

#4 1–0 13.5%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flamengo SP U200.9

Osasco Audax U201.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMENGO SP U20 · PPG 1.40

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.12, combined xG 1.86 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flamengo SP U20 (H) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Osasco Audax U20 (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamengo SP U20 face Osasco Audax U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamengo SP U20 a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Osasco Audax U20 35%, so Osasco Audax U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Flamengo SP U20 and 1.0 for Osasco Audax U20 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamengo SP U20 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Osasco Audax U20.

Flamengo SP U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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