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Ibrachina U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

Ibrachina U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santo André U20

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.97 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.3%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.5%1-11.6%1-20.5%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-05.8%2-13.6%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.9%3-15.5%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-036.4%4+-122.3%4+-26.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.5% — — —

Draw 10.1% — — —

Away win 7.4% — — —

Over 2.5 76.3% — — —

Over 3.5 55.2% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob53.1%

H 82% / xG 4.6-0.6 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 10.2%

#2 5–0 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.9%

#4 4–1 6.2%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ibrachina U204.6

Santo André U200.6

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.3% · O3.5 PROB 55.2%

Form & verdict PPG

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 3.00

SANTO ANDRÉ U20 · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.97 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ibrachina U20 (H) 82.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 10.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santo André U20 (A) 7.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ibrachina U20 face Santo André U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ibrachina U20 a 83% chance, the draw 10% and Santo André U20 7%, so Ibrachina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Ibrachina U20 and 0.6 for Santo André U20 (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ibrachina U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.40 for Santo André U20.

Ibrachina U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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