Latina PPG 1.22
Casertana PPG 1.39Latina face Casertana in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Latina a 33% chance, the draw 30% and Casertana 37%, so Casertana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Latina and 1.1 for Casertana (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Latina are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.39 for Casertana. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.9%. This match finished 2-0.
Based on 21 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.39)