Giugliano vs Benevento Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 37 Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro· Giugliano Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:30

Giugliano PPG 1.28

1-1 HIT CS3

Benevento PPG 1.94

Away· +113.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Giugliano face Benevento in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Giugliano a 15% chance, the draw 22% and Benevento 63%, so Benevento are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Giugliano and 1.8 for Benevento (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Giugliano are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.94 for Benevento. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +113.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.8%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -71.1%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -24.2%

Away 62.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +113.9%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: 1.75 -17.6%

Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: 2.90 -26.1%

BTTS 43.9% Odds: 1.60 -29.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Giugliano

0.74

Benevento

1.81

Model SuggestionAway +113.9% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.94) vs Home AVERAGE (1.28)