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Cosenza vs Trapani Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 37 Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla· Cosenza Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:30
Cosenza logo Cosenza PPG 2.33
1-0 HIT CS5
Trapani logo Trapani PPG 0.94
Over3.5· +48.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cosenza face Trapani in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cosenza a 78% chance, the draw 14% and Trapani 9%, so Cosenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Cosenza and 0.8 for Trapani (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cosenza are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.94 for Trapani. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +48.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.5%
Odds: 1.50 EV: +16.3%
Draw 13.9%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -48.6%
Away 8.6%
Odds: 6.25 EV: -46.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.2% Odds: 1.85 +28.0%
Over 3.5 47.8% Odds: 3.10 +48.2%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cosenza
2.74
Trapani
0.83

Model Suggestion

Home +16.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+48.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -20.6%
Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.94) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org