Gimnasia Jujuy PPG 3.00
Almagro PPG 0.50Gimnasia Jujuy face Almagro in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 77% chance, the draw 18% and Almagro 5%, so Gimnasia Jujuy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.3 for Almagro (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia Jujuy are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Almagro. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.9%. This match finished 6-1.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus