Today / Sweden - Allsvenskan / IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF

IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

IF Brommapojkarna

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Malmo FF

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.7%0-25.2%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.9%1-110.7%1-28.3%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.9%3-14.5%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.5%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.3% 33.3% 3.00 +23.9%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 34.2% 46.5% 2.15 -26.5%

Over 2.5 61.5% 60.6% 1.65 +1.5%

Over 3.5 39.4% 38.5% 2.60 +2.4%

BTTS 62.1% 66.7% 1.50 -6.9%

Home O1.5 49.4% 44.4% 2.25 +11.2%

Away O1.5 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -7.7%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.1%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Brommapojkarna1.6

Malmo FF1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IF BROMMAPOJKARNA · PPG 1.00

MALMO FF · PPG 1.57

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IF Brommapojkarna (H) 41.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +23.9%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

Malmo FF (A) 34.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Brommapojkarna face Malmo FF in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Malmo FF 34%, so IF Brommapojkarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.6 for Malmo FF (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Malmo FF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.1%.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Allsvenskan Predictions