Today / USA - NWSL / Denver Summit W vs Boston Legacy W

Denver Summit W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 01:00

Denver Summit W logo
Denver Summit W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Boston Legacy W logo
Boston Legacy W
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-16.8%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.1%1-111.5%1-25.4%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.7%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.7%3-15.4%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.3%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.6%
Draw 25.1%
Away win 24.3%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Over 3.5 30.4%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5 49.4%
Away O1.5 27.6%

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 46%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -11.3%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 1–0 12.1%
#3 2–0 10.2%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Denver Summit W1.7
Boston Legacy W0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DENVER SUMMIT W · PPG 1.33

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Denver Summit W (H) 50.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Boston Legacy W (A) 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Denver Summit W face Boston Legacy W in USA - NWSL on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Denver Summit W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Boston Legacy W 24%, so Denver Summit W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Denver Summit W and 0.9 for Boston Legacy W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Denver Summit W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.83 for Boston Legacy W.

PredictVantage

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