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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 35 Stadio Carlo Castellani· Empoli Sunday, April 19, 2026 17:30
Empoli logo Empoli PPG 1.29
1-1 HIT CS3
Entella logo Entella PPG 0.41
Home· +34.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.8%
Odds: 2.10 EV: +34.0%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -34.6%
Away 15.0%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -45.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.1% Odds: 2.10 +9.4%
Over 3.5 29.9% Odds: 3.75 +12.1%
BTTS 47.9% Odds: 1.80 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✔
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli
1.94
Entella
0.82

Model Suggestion

Home +34.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs P(Home)=63.8%

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