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Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 15:00

Rangers

PPG 1.82 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hibernian

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.6%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.8%1-110.6%1-25.2%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.3%3-16.2%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-14.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% 66.2% 1.51 -17.0%

Draw 23.4% 23.3% 4.30 +0.4%

Away win 21.6% 17.5% 5.70 +13.9%

Over 2.5 56.0% 64.5% 1.55 -13.2%

Over 3.5 33.9% 42.6% 2.35 -20.3%

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 55.4% 67.6% 1.48 -18.0%

Away O1.5 28.9% 31.3% 3.20 -4.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -15.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 55% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers1.9

Hibernian1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS · PPG 1.82

HIBERNIAN · PPG 1.45

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rangers (H) 55.0%

ODDS 1.51 · IMPLIED 66.2% EV -17.0%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +0.4%

Hibernian (A) 21.6%

ODDS 5.70 · IMPLIED 17.5% EV +13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers face Hibernian in Scotland - Premiership on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Hibernian 22%, so Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rangers and 1.0 for Hibernian (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.45 for Hibernian. This match finished 1-2.

Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

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