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Dundee Utd vs Rangers Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Regular Season - 1 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 19:00

Dundee Utd

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rangers

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.0%0-25.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.8%1-111.5%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.3%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.7%3-14.0%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 18.2% 5.50 +122.2%

Draw 24.9% 23.3% 4.30 +4.2%

Away win 34.7% 65.4% 1.53 -46.9%

Over 2.5 61.2% 66.7% 1.50 -8.2%

Over 3.5 37.3% 44.4% 2.25 -16.1%

BTTS 61.2% 63.7% 1.57 -3.9%

Home O1.5 45.4% 33.3% 3.00 +36.2%

Away O1.5 46.4% 69.0% 1.45 -32.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.2%

A 35% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dundee Utd1.4

Rangers1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DUNDEE UTD · PPG 1.48

RANGERS · PPG 1.69

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dundee Utd (H) 40.4%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +122.2%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +4.2%

Rangers (A) 34.7%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -46.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dundee Utd face Rangers in Scotland - Premiership on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dundee Utd a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Rangers 35%, so Dundee Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dundee Utd and 1.5 for Rangers (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dundee Utd are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.69 for Rangers. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +50.5%.

Dundee Utd vs Rangers Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

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