Today / Norway - 1st Division / Egersund vs Sandnes ULF

Egersund vs Sandnes ULF Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Egersund

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sandnes ULF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.5%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.0%1-19.4%1-25.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.8%3-16.8%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-15.7%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 54.1% 1.85 -0.7%

Draw 22.3% 26.7% 3.75 -9.8%

Away win 24.0% 29.9% 3.35 -11.8%

Over 2.5 64.0% 67.6% 1.48 -5.3%

Over 3.5 42.8% 45.5% 2.20 -5.8%

BTTS 62.1% 69.4% 1.44 -10.6%

Home O1.5 60.1% 61.7% 1.62 -2.6%

Away O1.5 36.5% 44.4% 2.25 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Egersund2.1

Sandnes ULF1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EGERSUND · PPG 2.00

SANDNES ULF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Egersund (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -0.7%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.8%

Sandnes ULF (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Egersund face Sandnes ULF in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egersund a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Sandnes ULF 24%, so Egersund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Egersund and 1.2 for Sandnes ULF (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egersund are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Sandnes ULF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.3%.

Egersund vs Sandnes ULF Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1st Division Predictions