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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 36 Estadio Carlos Belmonte· Albacete Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:30
Albacete logo Albacete PPG 1.29
4-1 MISS
Granada logo Granada PPG 1.12
Away· +1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%
Odds: 2.36 EV: +0.3%
Draw 26.2%
Odds: 2.96 EV: -22.4%
Away 31.3%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +1.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 2.10 +1.0%
Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 3.75 -1.0%
BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.77 -7.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Albacete
1.42
Granada
1.18

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

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