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Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands United Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 06:00

Brisbane Strikers

PPG 2.80 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Redlands United

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-12.6%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-16.9%1-23.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.1%2-19.1%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.8%3-18.0%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-19.9%4+-24.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.0% 69.4% 1.44 -5.0%

Draw 17.3% 21.1% 4.75 -10.7%

Away win 16.7% 18.2% 5.50 -4.9%

Over 2.5 65.1% 73.5% 1.36 -11.5%

Over 3.5 43.0% 51.3% 1.95 -16.2%

BTTS 54.6% 66.7% 1.50 -18.1%

Home O1.5 63.0% 75.2% 1.33 -16.2%

Away O1.5 23.9% 35.1% 2.85 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 22.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 66% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 3–0✓ 8.8%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brisbane Strikers2.6

Redlands United0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRISBANE STRIKERS · PPG 2.80

REDLANDS UNITED · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.72 for Home, form 2.80 vs 1.40 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Brisbane Strikers (H) 66.0%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -5.0%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -10.7%

Redlands United (A) 16.7%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brisbane Strikers face Redlands United in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brisbane Strikers a 66% chance, the draw 17% and Redlands United 17%, so Brisbane Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Brisbane Strikers and 0.9 for Redlands United (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brisbane Strikers are averaging 2.80 points per game versus 1.40 for Redlands United. This match finished 3-0.

Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands United Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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