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SC Wanderers vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 08:00

SC Wanderers logo
SC Wanderers
PPG 1.44 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ipswich logo
Ipswich
PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.7%0-23.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.3%1-19.5%1-26.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.3%2-19.6%2-26.3%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.9%3-16.4%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-15.1%4+-23.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.7%
Draw 22.3%
Away win 24.0%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.0%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 53.6%
Away O1.5 41.4%

League track record

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI 18.0%
Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.3%
#4 3–1 6.4%
#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Wanderers2.0
Ipswich1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.44

IPSWICH · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SC Wanderers (H) 53.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ipswich (A) 24.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Wanderers face Ipswich in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Wanderers a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Ipswich 24%, so SC Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for SC Wanderers and 1.3 for Ipswich (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Wanderers are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.67 for Ipswich.

PredictVantage

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