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Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 06:00

Holland Park Hawks

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Robina City

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-18.7%0-26.8%0-33.5%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.4%1-111.5%1-29.0%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-17.7%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 40.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 56.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 18.0%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob56.1%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holland Park Hawks1.3

Robina City1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLLAND PARK HAWKS · PPG 1.44

ROBINA CITY · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Holland Park Hawks (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Robina City (A) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holland Park Hawks face Robina City in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holland Park Hawks a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Robina City 40%, so Robina City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Holland Park Hawks and 1.6 for Robina City (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holland Park Hawks are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.12 for Robina City.

Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions