Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Group 2 - 33
Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta· Sabadell
Sunday, April 19, 2026
16:15
Sabadell
PPG 2.00
1-0
HIT CS2
Hercules
PPG 0.69
Home· +30.5%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
79.6%
Odds: 1.64
EV: +30.5%
Draw
15.0%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -50.5%
Away
5.4%
Odds: 5.40
EV: -70.8%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
50.4%
Odds: 2.20
+10.9%
Over 3.5
28.4%
Odds: 4.20
+19.3%
BTTS
30.9%
Odds: 2.05
-36.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
4-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sabadell
2.27
Hercules
0.42
Model Suggestion
Home
+30.5%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus