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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta· Sabadell Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:15
Sabadell logo Sabadell PPG 2.00
1-0 HIT CS2
Hercules logo Hercules PPG 0.69
Home· +30.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 79.6%
Odds: 1.64 EV: +30.5%
Draw 15.0%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -50.5%
Away 5.4%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -70.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: 2.20 +10.9%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 4.20 +19.3%
BTTS 30.9% Odds: 2.05 -36.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sabadell
2.27
Hercules
0.42

Model Suggestion

Home +30.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus

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