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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat· Elda Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:15
Eldense logo Eldense PPG 2.44
2-1 MISS
Cartagena logo Cartagena PPG 1.13
Home· +23.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.8%
Odds: 1.75 EV: +23.9%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -33.7%
Away 8.8%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -59.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.5% Odds: 2.45 +1.7%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 4.75 -0.7%
BTTS 32.3% Odds: 2.10 -32.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-0
4th 0-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Eldense
1.86
Cartagena
0.48

Model Suggestion

Home +23.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 46%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 65.2%
Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away AVERAGE (1.13) - Strong consensus

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