Algeciras vs Tarazona Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Algeciras face Tarazona in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Algeciras a 60% chance, the draw 26% and Tarazona 14%, so Algeciras are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Algeciras and 0.5 for Tarazona (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Algeciras are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.81 for Tarazona. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.2%. This match finished 1-0.