Guadalajara vs Pontevedra Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Estadio Pedro Escartín· Guadalajara Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:15

Guadalajara PPG 1.38

1-4 MISS

Pontevedra PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Guadalajara face Pontevedra in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guadalajara a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Pontevedra 41%, so Pontevedra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Guadalajara and 1.1 for Pontevedra (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guadalajara are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.38 for Pontevedra. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 40.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 14.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Guadalajara

0.89

Pontevedra

1.13

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -35.1%

Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.38)