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Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 23:00

Loudoun United

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Charleston Battery

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.7%0-25.1%0-33.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.4%1-19.5%1-28.4%1-35.0%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.5%2-17.9%2-27.0%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.5%3-14.4%3-23.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.7%4+-22.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 29.4% 3.40 +38.7%

Draw 23.4% 27.0% 3.70 -8.1%

Away win 35.7% 54.1% 1.85 -34.0%

Over 2.5 63.8% 60.6% 1.65 +5.3%

Over 3.5 42.7% 38.2% 2.62 +11.9%

BTTS 64.3% 64.5% 1.55 -0.3%

Home O1.5 48.5% 39.2% 2.55 +23.7%

Away O1.5 48.2% 57.8% 1.73 -16.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 113 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob64.3%

A 36% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Loudoun United1.7

Charleston Battery1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LOUDOUN UNITED · PPG 1.00

CHARLESTON BATTERY · PPG 0.78

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Loudoun United (H) 40.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +38.7%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.1%

Charleston Battery (A) 35.7%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -34.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Loudoun United face Charleston Battery in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Loudoun United a 41% chance, the draw 23% and Charleston Battery 36%, so Loudoun United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Loudoun United and 1.8 for Charleston Battery (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Loudoun United are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.78 for Charleston Battery. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +36.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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