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Talleres Remedios vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Talleres Remedios

PPG 1.79 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Argentino de Merlo

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.0%0-110.0%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.1%1-111.1%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-16.2%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.5%3-12.3%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 58.8% 1.70 -18.4%

Draw 31.8% 31.3% 3.20 +1.8%

Away win 20.2% 20.0% 5.00 +0.6%

Over 2.5 34.8% 40.8% 2.45 -14.7%

Over 3.5 15.4% 22.2% 4.50 -18.4%

BTTS 44.9% 45.5% 2.20 -1.2%

Home O1.5 32.1% 48.8% 2.05 -34.2%

Away O1.5 17.4% 21.1% 4.75 -10.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.9%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.0%

#2 1–0 22.1%

#3 1–1 11.1%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Remedios1.1

Argentino de Merlo0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 1.79

ARGENTINO DE MERLO · PPG 1.14

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Remedios (H) 48.0%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -18.4%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.8%

Argentino de Merlo (A) 20.2%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Remedios face Argentino de Merlo in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Remedios a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Argentino de Merlo 20%, so Talleres Remedios are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Talleres Remedios and 0.5 for Argentino de Merlo (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Remedios are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.14 for Argentino de Merlo. This match finished 1-2.

Talleres Remedios vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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