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Flandria vs UAI Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Flandria

PPG 1.29 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

UAI Urquiza

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.8%0-114.3%0-24.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.9%1-112.4%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.2%2-15.4%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.4%3-11.6%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 51.3% 1.95 -15.2%

Draw 32.7% 35.7% 2.80 -8.4%

Away win 23.8% 23.8% 4.20 -0.0%

Over 2.5 34.8% 32.3% 3.10 +7.9%

Over 3.5 18.1% 14.3% 7.00 +16.0%

BTTS 45.5% 40.0% 2.50 +13.8%

Home O1.5 32.1% 37.7% 2.65 -14.9%

Away O1.5 17.4% 20.0% 5.00 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.5%

H 44% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.8%

#2 1–0 18.9%

#3 1–1✓ 12.4%

#4 0–1 14.3%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria0.9

UAI Urquiza0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.29

UAI URQUIZA · PPG 0.86

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.21, combined xG 1.52 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 43.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -15.2%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -8.4%

UAI Urquiza (A) 23.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face UAI Urquiza in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 44% chance, the draw 33% and UAI Urquiza 24%, so Flandria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Flandria and 0.7 for UAI Urquiza (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.86 for UAI Urquiza. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Flandria vs UAI Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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