Aluminij vs Bravo Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 31 Sportni park Aluminij· Kidricevo Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:30

Aluminij PPG 1.20

0-1 MISS

Bravo PPG 1.60

Over3.5· +58.4% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Aluminij face Bravo in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aluminij a 28% chance, the draw 20% and Bravo 52%, so Bravo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Aluminij and 2.3 for Bravo (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aluminij are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.60 for Bravo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +58.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -1.3%

Draw 19.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -31.1%

Away 52.1%

Odds: 1.94 EV: +1.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.9% Odds: 1.73 +33.0%

Over 3.5 57.6% Odds: 2.75 +58.4%

BTTS 74.0% Odds: 1.57 +16.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Aluminij

1.71

Bravo

2.34

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +33.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+58.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 85.1%

Bet Hit 91% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.60)