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Saburtalo vs Dila Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:00

Saburtalo

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dila

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-19.9%0-23.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.2%1-112.7%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.4%2-18.2%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.5%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.4% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -5.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.6%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Saburtalo1.3

Dila0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SABURTALO · PPG 1.90

DILA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.50, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Saburtalo (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dila (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Saburtalo face Dila in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Saburtalo a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Dila 24%, so Saburtalo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Saburtalo and 0.8 for Dila (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Saburtalo are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.33 for Dila.

Saburtalo vs Dila Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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