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Odishi 1919 vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.1%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.3%1-110.9%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.8%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.1%3-15.9%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-14.0%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 45.5% 2.20 +16.6%

Draw 24.1% 31.3% 3.20 -13.7%

Away win 22.9% 34.7% 2.88 -20.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 48.1% 2.08 +11.3%

Over 3.5 32.3% 28.6% 3.50 +13.1%

BTTS 54.5% 55.6% 1.80 -1.9%

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 28.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 10.2%

#3 2–1✓ 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19191.8

Kolkheti Poti1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.56

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 0.44

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 53.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +16.6%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -13.7%

Kolkheti Poti (A) 22.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Kolkheti Poti in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Kolkheti Poti 23%, so Odishi 1919 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Odishi 1919 and 1.0 for Kolkheti Poti (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.44 for Kolkheti Poti. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +46.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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