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Gori vs Sioni Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Gori

PPG 1.00 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Sioni

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-113.7%0-27.2%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.9%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.4%2-16.7%2-23.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.6%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.0%

#3 0–1 13.7%

#4 1–0 12.9%

#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gori1.0

Sioni1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GORI · PPG 1.00

SIONI · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gori (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sioni (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gori face Sioni in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gori a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Sioni 35%, so Gori are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gori and 1.0 for Sioni (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gori are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Sioni. This match finished 4-1.

Gori vs Sioni Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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