Alvechurch PPG 1.20
Leiston PPG 1.55Alvechurch face Leiston in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alvechurch a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Leiston 39%, so Leiston are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Alvechurch and 1.3 for Leiston (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alvechurch are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.55 for Leiston. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.0%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 22 resolved predictions
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.55)