Bury Town vs Kettering Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 42 The Getaway Cars Stadium· Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Bury Town PPG 1.45

0-1 HIT CS5

Kettering Town PPG 1.50

Home· +81.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bury Town face Kettering Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bury Town a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Kettering Town 36%, so Bury Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bury Town and 1.4 for Kettering Town (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bury Town are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.50 for Kettering Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +81.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.4%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +81.2%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -3.3%

Away 35.8%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -44.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 32.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.3% Odds: 1.62 -5.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Bury Town

1.48

Kettering Town

1.40

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+81.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.45), Away GOOD (1.50)