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Redditch Utd vs Quorn Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Redditch Utd

PPG 2.05 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Quorn

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.0%0-23.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.6%1-18.1%1-27.2%1-34.2%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.6%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.1%3-15.5%3-24.9%3-32.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.4%4+-23.9%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 55.6% 1.80 -20.3%

Draw 21.2% 30.3% 3.30 -30.0%

Away win 34.6% 26.7% 3.75 +29.8%

Over 2.5 72.9% — — —

Over 3.5 52.4% — — —

BTTS 71.9% 64.5% 1.55 +11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -14.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob71.9%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redditch Utd2.0

Quorn1.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.4%

Form & verdict PPG

REDDITCH UTD · PPG 2.05

QUORN · PPG 1.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.05) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Redditch Utd (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -20.3%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -30.0%

Quorn (A) 34.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +29.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Redditch Utd face Quorn in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redditch Utd a 44% chance, the draw 21% and Quorn 35%, so Redditch Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Redditch Utd and 1.8 for Quorn (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redditch Utd are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.60 for Quorn. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +29.8%. This match finished 5-0.

Redditch Utd vs Quorn Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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