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Stamford vs Harborough Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 42 The Zeeco Stadium· Stamford, Lincolnshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Stamford logo Stamford PPG 1.60
0-0 MISS
Harborough Town logo Harborough Town PPG 2.25
Away· +10.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stamford face Harborough Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stamford a 12% chance, the draw 20% and Harborough Town 68%, so Harborough Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Stamford and 1.9 for Harborough Town (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stamford are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.25 for Harborough Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.5%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -49.4%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -28.6%
Away 68.1%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +10.3%
Model lean: Away
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: —
BTTS 40.6% Odds: 1.57 -36.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-3
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Stamford
0.64
Harborough Town
1.94

Model Suggestion

Away +10.3% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.60)

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