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Stourbridge vs Royston Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 42 War Memorial Athletic Ground· Stourbridge, West Midlands Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Stourbridge logo Stourbridge PPG 1.15
1-0 HIT CS2
Royston logo Royston PPG 0.65
Home· +3.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stourbridge face Royston in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stourbridge a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Royston 14%, so Stourbridge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Stourbridge and 0.9 for Royston (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stourbridge are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.65 for Royston. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.1%
Odds: 1.57 EV: +3.8%
Draw 19.6%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -29.4%
Away 14.2%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -34.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 34.5% Odds: —
BTTS 50.7% Odds: 1.50 -23.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Stourbridge
2.11
Royston
0.86

Model Suggestion

Home +3.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.15) > Away POOR (0.65)

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