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St. Ives Town vs Stratford Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

St. Ives Town

PPG 1.10 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Stratford Town

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-19.7%0-27.7%0-34.1%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.3%1-111.6%1-29.3%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.4%2-17.0%2-25.6%2-33.0%2-4+1.7%3 3-01.8%3-12.8%3-22.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -21.1%

Draw 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -16.0%

Away win 46.6% 46.5% 2.15 +0.2%

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.0% — — —

BTTS 56.0% 66.7% 1.50 -16.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -14.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob56.0%

A 47% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 0–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 9.3%

#4 0–2 7.7%

#5 1–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Ives Town1.2

Stratford Town1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. IVES TOWN · PPG 1.10

STRATFORD TOWN · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.10), Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

St. Ives Town (H) 28.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -21.1%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -16.0%

Stratford Town (A) 46.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Ives Town face Stratford Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Ives Town a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Stratford Town 47%, so Stratford Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for St. Ives Town and 1.6 for Stratford Town (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Ives Town are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.15 for Stratford Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 0-0.

St. Ives Town vs Stratford Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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