Today / South Korea - K League 1 / Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:30

Gangwon FC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bucheon FC 1995

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-19.6%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.8%1-112.3%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.4%2-17.9%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.9%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 66.7% 1.50 -25.8%

Draw 27.1% 26.0% 3.85 +2.6%

Away win 23.4% 14.7% 6.80 +35.5%

Over 2.5 44.8% 46.5% 2.15 -3.7%

Over 3.5 25.9% 25.0% 4.00 +2.2%

BTTS 48.7% 45.5% 2.20 +7.1%

Home O1.5 36.9% 56.5% 1.77 -34.7%

Away O1.5 20.3% 18.2% 5.50 +7.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -72.1%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.8%

#2 0–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gangwon FC1.3

Bucheon FC 19950.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GANGWON FC · PPG 1.78

BUCHEON FC 1995 · PPG 1.30

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gangwon FC (H) 49.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -25.8%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +2.6%

Bucheon FC 1995 (A) 23.4%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +35.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gangwon FC face Bucheon FC 1995 in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gangwon FC a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Bucheon FC 1995 23%, so Gangwon FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gangwon FC and 0.7 for Bucheon FC 1995 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gangwon FC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.30 for Bucheon FC 1995. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +38.3%.

Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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