Today / South Korea - K League 1 / Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul

Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:30

Jeonbuk Motors

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Seoul

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-111.0%0-28.4%0-34.2%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.0%1-112.2%1-29.2%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.4%2-16.7%2-25.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% 38.2% 2.62 -20.9%

Draw 26.6% 31.3% 3.20 -8.9%

Away win 43.1% 37.7% 2.65 +14.2%

Over 2.5 50.8% 51.8% 1.93 -2.0%

Over 3.5 29.0% 30.3% 3.30 -2.6%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 41.7% 2.40 -21.8%

Away O1.5 48.0% 41.7% 2.40 +15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -72.1%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–1 11.0%

#4 0–0 7.3%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeonbuk Motors1.1

FC Seoul1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JEONBUK MOTORS · PPG 1.78

FC SEOUL · PPG 2.50

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeonbuk Motors (H) 30.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -20.9%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.9%

FC Seoul (A) 43.1%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonbuk Motors face FC Seoul in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 30% chance, the draw 27% and FC Seoul 43%, so FC Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.5 for FC Seoul (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonbuk Motors are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 2.50 for FC Seoul. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +15.2%.

Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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