Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Fløya vs Ulfstind

Fløya vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 15 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00

Fløya

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ulfstind

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-11.1%1-20.8%1-30.4%1-4+0.2%2 2-01.8%2-12.7%2-22.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.0%3-14.6%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-016.2%4+-124.6%4+-218.7%4+-39.5%4+-4+5.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.2% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 8.4% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 69.8% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.6%

H 75% / xG 5.0-1.5 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 5.8%

#2 4–1 5.8%

#3 3–1 4.6%

#4 5–2 4.4%

#5 4–2 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fløya5.0

Ulfstind1.5

COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 69.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FLØYA · PPG 2.29

ULFSTIND · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.52 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fløya (H) 75.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulfstind (A) 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fløya face Ulfstind in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fløya a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Ulfstind 8%, so Fløya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.0 for Fløya and 1.5 for Ulfstind (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fløya are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Ulfstind.

Fløya vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions