Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Bossekop vs Harstad

Bossekop vs Harstad Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 11:00

Bossekop

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Harstad

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.9%0-24.4%0-34.4%0-4+6.9%1 1-01.6%1-14.7%1-27.1%1-37.1%1-4+11.3%2 2-01.3%2-13.9%2-25.8%2-35.8%2-4+9.2%3 3-00.7%3-12.1%3-23.2%3-33.2%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 59.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 70.0% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 70.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob70.0%

A 60% / xG 1.6-3.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.1%

#2 1–2 7.1%

#3 2–3 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 1–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bossekop1.6

Harstad3.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSSEKOP · PPG 0.67

HARSTAD · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.38 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Bossekop (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Harstad (A) 59.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bossekop face Harstad in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bossekop a 23% chance, the draw 17% and Harstad 60%, so Harstad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bossekop and 3.0 for Harstad (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bossekop are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.71 for Harstad.

Bossekop vs Harstad Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions