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Eastern Suburbs vs WDSC Wolves Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 08:00

Eastern Suburbs

PPG 1.30 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

WDSC Wolves

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.1%0-24.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.7%1-19.3%1-27.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.2%3-15.3%3-24.3%3-32.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.7%4+-23.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 47.6% 2.10 -7.0%

Draw 21.9% 25.0% 4.00 -7.4%

Away win 33.8% 37.0% 2.70 -8.7%

Over 2.5 65.2% 73.5% 1.36 -11.3%

Over 3.5 43.0% 51.3% 1.95 -16.2%

BTTS 64.3% 74.1% 1.35 -13.2%

Home O1.5 55.4% 61.7% 1.62 -10.3%

Away O1.5 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eastern Suburbs1.8

WDSC Wolves1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EASTERN SUBURBS · PPG 1.30

WDSC WOLVES · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eastern Suburbs (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -7.0%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.4%

WDSC Wolves (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -8.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eastern Suburbs face WDSC Wolves in Australia - NPL Queensland on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eastern Suburbs a 44% chance, the draw 22% and WDSC Wolves 34%, so Eastern Suburbs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Eastern Suburbs and 1.6 for WDSC Wolves (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eastern Suburbs are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.70 for WDSC Wolves. This match finished 0-0.

Eastern Suburbs vs WDSC Wolves Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Match Preview & Prediction

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