Today / Australia - NPL Queensland / Magic United vs Olympic

Magic United vs Olympic Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 04:30

Magic United

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Olympic

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.7% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-13.6%0-24.7%0-34.0%0-4+4.8%1 1-02.4%1-16.1%1-27.9%1-36.8%1-4+8.1%2 2-02.0%2-15.2%2-26.6%2-35.7%2-4+6.8%3 3-01.1%3-12.9%3-23.7%3-33.2%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.8%4+-22.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% 28.6% 3.50 +2.6%

Draw 20.6% 24.4% 4.10 -9.3%

Away win 49.6% 57.1% 1.75 -13.2%

Over 2.5 72.7% 78.1% 1.28 -6.9%

Over 3.5 51.9% 58.8% 1.70 -11.8%

BTTS 70.3% 78.1% 1.28 -10.0%

Home O1.5 49.4% 52.6% 1.90 -6.1%

Away O1.5 67.8% 72.5% 1.38 -6.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob70.3%

A 50% / xG 1.7-2.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.9%

#2 1–1 6.1%

#3 1–3 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magic United1.7

Olympic2.6

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGIC UNITED · PPG 0.67

OLYMPIC · PPG 0.80

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.89 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Magic United (H) 29.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +2.6%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -9.3%

Olympic (A) 49.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Magic United face Olympic in Australia - NPL Queensland on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magic United a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Olympic 50%, so Olympic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Magic United and 2.6 for Olympic (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magic United are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +13.8%.

Magic United vs Olympic Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Match Preview & Prediction

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