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CS Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 02:00

CS Cartagines

PPG 2.05 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Sporting San Jose

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-18.8%0-23.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.9%1-112.2%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-18.4%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.4%3-13.9%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% 50.0% 2.00 +1.4%

Draw 28.0% 30.8% 3.25 -5.4%

Away win 21.4% 29.0% 3.45 -15.7%

Over 2.5 40.4% 47.6% 2.10 -15.2%

Over 3.5 22.0% 26.7% 3.75 -10.5%

BTTS 46.1% 54.6% 1.83 -15.6%

Home O1.5 39.5% 47.6% 2.10 -17.1%

Away O1.5 17.4% 32.3% 3.10 -27.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.1%

H 51% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.9%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 2–1✓ 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CS Cartagines1.4

Sporting San Jose0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.4% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CS CARTAGINES · PPG 2.05

SPORTING SAN JOSE · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

CS Cartagines (H) 50.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +1.4%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -5.4%

Sporting San Jose (A) 21.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

CS Cartagines face Sporting San Jose in Costa-Rica - Primera División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CS Cartagines a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Sporting San Jose 21%, so CS Cartagines are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for CS Cartagines and 0.7 for Sporting San Jose (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CS Cartagines are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.21 for Sporting San Jose. This match finished 2-1.

CS Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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