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Puntarenas FC vs Sporting San Jose Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Apertura - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:00

Puntarenas FC

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sporting San Jose

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-111.5%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.4%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-17.4%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.5% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.4%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puntarenas FC1.1

Sporting San Jose0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PUNTARENAS FC · PPG 1.25

SPORTING SAN JOSE · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puntarenas FC (H) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sporting San Jose (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puntarenas FC face Sporting San Jose in Costa-Rica - Primera División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puntarenas FC a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Sporting San Jose 25%, so Puntarenas FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Puntarenas FC and 0.8 for Sporting San Jose (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puntarenas FC are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.29 for Sporting San Jose.

Puntarenas FC vs Sporting San Jose Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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