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Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Apertura - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 22:00

Deportivo Saprissa

PPG 2.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

San Carlos

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.31 for Home, form 2.23 vs 1.03 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.5%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-14.7%1-22.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-17.6%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.0%3-18.1%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-016.2%4+-114.7%4+-26.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.5% — — —

Draw 18.2% — — —

Away win 9.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 72% / xG 3.2-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.0%

#2 2–0 8.4%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 2–1 7.6%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Saprissa3.2

San Carlos0.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO SAPRISSA · PPG 2.23

SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.31 for Home, form 2.23 vs 1.03 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Saprissa (H) 72.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Carlos (A) 9.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Saprissa face San Carlos in Costa-Rica - Primera División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Saprissa a 73% chance, the draw 18% and San Carlos 9%, so Deportivo Saprissa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.9 for San Carlos (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Saprissa are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.03 for San Carlos.

Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos Prediction— Costa-Rica - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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