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Flint Town United vs Barry Town Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:45

Flint Town United

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Barry Town

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.9%0-26.5%0-34.1%0-4+2.9%1 1-05.2%1-19.8%1-29.2%1-35.8%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.7%2-17.0%2-26.6%2-34.1%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.8%3-13.3%3-23.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.0% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.9%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flint Town United1.4

Barry Town1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FLINT TOWN UNITED · PPG 1.10

BARRY TOWN · PPG 1.34

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flint Town United (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Barry Town (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flint Town United face Barry Town in Wales - Premier League on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flint Town United a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Barry Town 45%, so Barry Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Flint Town United and 1.9 for Barry Town (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flint Town United are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.34 for Barry Town.

Flint Town United vs Barry Town Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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