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Wuppertaler vs Mgladbach B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Wuppertaler

PPG 0.71 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Mgladbach B

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 76.5% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a clear edge.

+49.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-16.4%0-29.2%0-38.7%0-4+12.4%1 1-02.1%1-16.1%1-28.6%1-38.2%1-4+11.7%2 2-01.0%2-12.9%2-24.1%2-33.9%2-4+5.5%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.3%3-31.2%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.6% 31.3% 3.20 -69.3%

Draw 13.9% 27.4% 3.65 -49.3%

Away win 76.5% 51.3% 1.95 +49.2%

Over 2.5 72.9% 66.7% 1.50 +9.3%

Over 3.5 52.4% 43.5% 2.30 +20.5%

BTTS 57.5% 67.6% 1.48 -14.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob57.5%

A 76% / xG 0.9-2.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.2%

#2 0–3 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 1–3 8.2%

#5 0–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuppertaler0.9

Mgladbach B2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WUPPERTALER · PPG 0.71

MGLADBACH B · PPG 2.07

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Wuppertaler (H) 9.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -69.3%

Draw 13.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -49.3%

Mgladbach B (A) 76.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +49.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuppertaler face Mgladbach B in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuppertaler a 10% chance, the draw 14% and Mgladbach B 77%, so Mgladbach B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Wuppertaler and 2.8 for Mgladbach B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuppertaler are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 2.07 for Mgladbach B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +49.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Wuppertaler vs Mgladbach B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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