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Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Sandefjord

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

KFUM Oslo

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-18.1%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.3%1-112.2%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.2%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.6%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% 48.8% 2.05 +0.7%

Draw 25.2% 27.4% 3.65 -4.8%

Away win 25.7% 30.8% 3.25 -9.9%

Over 2.5 50.8% 58.8% 1.70 -13.6%

Over 3.5 29.7% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

BTTS 53.1% 63.7% 1.57 -16.6%

Home O1.5 45.4% 52.6% 1.90 -13.7%

Away O1.5 25.4% 39.2% 2.55 -21.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 17.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 13.3%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord1.5

KFUM Oslo0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD · PPG 1.29

KFUM OSLO · PPG 0.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord (H) 49.1%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +0.7%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.8%

KFUM Oslo (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord face KFUM Oslo in Norway - Eliteserien on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord a 49% chance, the draw 25% and KFUM Oslo 26%, so Sandefjord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sandefjord and 0.9 for KFUM Oslo (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.33 for KFUM Oslo.

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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